~The Sun of China~
I've been wanting to discuss a topic with you all for some time. That is - the probability of God's existence.
I have been a life long believer in God's existence. Ever since I was young I was trained in the Word of God.
In my youth I learned the power of prayer. I had amazing experiences that confirmed my faith.
The most powerful spiritual experience I have ever had was in response to a prayer when I was 9 years old.
Ever since then, I have been 100% confident in the existence of God.
Being a curious lad, I sought out Atheists in my teen years.
I thought that since I was 100% positive in the existence of God that maybe I could help them see the light.
I searched out Science forums online and began entering the discussions.
In my later teen years I was attending a Math class on probability.
It occurred to me that I might be able to calculate the probability of God's existence!
The following equation was the result - it was never geared for 100% accuracy, but it displays a very powerful principle -
~ The power of multiple witnesses ~
- Every single spiritual event has to be FALSE in order to not indicate God’s existence.
------ EXAMPLE ------
Lets say I pray for rain, and then the next day it rains...Maybe based on this one experience the Probability of God = 60% because of him answering the prayer, but maybe a 40% chance it was a coincidence.
Lets say 5 people pray for rain and EVERYONE experienced rain the following day...the only way P(God) = false is if EVERY prayer experience was just a coincidence.
Therefore, in order for each experience to be false, we must multiply their probabilities.
40% * 40% * 40% * 40 % * 40%
If each of these "coin flips" lands on the 40% FALSE, then God is not TRUE based on these experiences. But if ANY of these experiences lands on TRUE, then God MUST be true! All it takes is one experience to prove God's existence!!!
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Please fill out this survey below and help me calculate the probability of God's existence!!!!!!!
Here is a survey - please fill out for research data!!
The Probability of God's Existence Survey
http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/ZBT9RLK
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Lets look at the math....
Probablility God exists = 1 – (Probability God doesn’t exist)
In order for God to not exist, every spiritual experience that ever occured must be false, or in other words, every spiritual experience must be a random fact of nature (coincidence) and not a result of God’s influence (supernatural).
[spiritual experience being defined as an unusual turn of events (supposedly supernatural event) that leads one to believe something happening is due to the power of God]
The conclusion that can be drawn from one spiritual experience is binary, it either was because of God (encompassing all supernatural sources) or it was because of nature.
- Every single spiritual event has to be False in order to not indicate God’s existence
------ EXAMPLE ------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability
Ex. For a dice to land on 6 twice, % = 1/6 * 1/6. For a dice to land on 6 three times, % = 1/6 * 1/6 * 1/6…etc.)
For God to not exist, each spiritual event must land on FALSE every time - Ex. %No God = %FALSE * %FALSE * %FALSE etc)
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Only at least one spiritual event has to be true to equate God’s existence.
P(event FALSE) = 1.00 - P(event TRUE)
------ EXAMPLE ------
Pray and ask God to help you find an item.
Time allotted to fine the item is 60 minutes.
Within any of the 60 minutes, the prayer can occur.
Within any of the 60 minutes, the item can be found.
Spritual Event =>
Prayer Event = 1/60
Finding Event = 1/60
Chance that both events randomly happen within the same minute –
%Chance = 1/60 * 1/60 = 1/360
%Chance = 0.00278
What this means is, under coincidental circumstances, you the prayer event and the finding event would only happen at the same time once every 360 times you lose an item.
But if you keep a journal of ever prayer event and every finding event, you may see that the "coincidence" of finding and prayer occur a lot more often than 1/360 times!!!!
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The Probability of God's existence increases at an exponential rate with each spiritual experience.
Think about the thousands of people with documented spiritual experience.
Think about the ratio of documented experiences to undocumented experiences.
Extrapolate out number of spiritual experiences as a percentage of population.
Apply the percentages of spiritual experiences to every population in the history of the earth.
After applying all these factors, the base for the quantity of witnesses of spiritual experiences will be extremely high.
With all of these witnesses over time, the probability that ALL of them are wrong is very small.
The Sun of China
Copyright 3/12/2012
Probablility God exists = 1 – (Probability God doesn’t exist)
In order for God to not exist, every spiritual experience that ever occured must be false, or in other words, every spiritual experience must be a random fact of nature (coincidence) and not a result of God’s influence (supernatural).
[spiritual experience being defined as an unusual turn of events (supposedly supernatural event) that leads one to believe something happening is due to the power of God]
The conclusion that can be drawn from one spiritual experience is binary, it either was because of God (encompassing all supernatural sources) or it was because of nature.
- Every single spiritual event has to be False in order to not indicate God’s existence
------ EXAMPLE ------
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability
Ex. For a dice to land on 6 twice, % = 1/6 * 1/6. For a dice to land on 6 three times, % = 1/6 * 1/6 * 1/6…etc.)
For God to not exist, each spiritual event must land on FALSE every time - Ex. %No God = %FALSE * %FALSE * %FALSE etc)
-------------------------
Only at least one spiritual event has to be true to equate God’s existence.
P(event FALSE) = 1.00 - P(event TRUE)
------ EXAMPLE ------
Pray and ask God to help you find an item.
Time allotted to fine the item is 60 minutes.
Within any of the 60 minutes, the prayer can occur.
Within any of the 60 minutes, the item can be found.
Spritual Event =>
Prayer Event = 1/60
Finding Event = 1/60
Chance that both events randomly happen within the same minute –
%Chance = 1/60 * 1/60 = 1/360
%Chance = 0.00278
What this means is, under coincidental circumstances, you the prayer event and the finding event would only happen at the same time once every 360 times you lose an item.
But if you keep a journal of ever prayer event and every finding event, you may see that the "coincidence" of finding and prayer occur a lot more often than 1/360 times!!!!
-------------------------
The Probability of God's existence increases at an exponential rate with each spiritual experience.
Think about the thousands of people with documented spiritual experience.
Think about the ratio of documented experiences to undocumented experiences.
Extrapolate out number of spiritual experiences as a percentage of population.
Apply the percentages of spiritual experiences to every population in the history of the earth.
After applying all these factors, the base for the quantity of witnesses of spiritual experiences will be extremely high.
With all of these witnesses over time, the probability that ALL of them are wrong is very small.
The Sun of China
Copyright 3/12/2012
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